In a landmark moment for Bolivian politics, the country is headed for its first-ever presidential runoff election since the restoration of democracy, signaling a significant shift after more than 20 years of leftist dominance. Early exit polls from the August 17, 2025, general elections show that no candidate secured an outright majority, paving the way for a runoff between centrist Senator Rodrigo Paz and former right-wing President Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga on October 19.
Senator Rodrigo Paz, representing the Christian Democratic Party (PDC), emerged as an unexpected frontrunner with approximately 32.8% of the votes, according to preliminary counts from over 91% of ballots cast. Paz, a moderate political figure who has advocated for economic reforms to address Bolivia’s severe crisis, positioned himself as a centrist alternative to traditional left-wing policies. His campaign focused on transforming the current economic model, appealing to voters wary of continuous austerity.
Jorge Quiroga, who previously served as president in 2001-2002 and represents the Alianza Libre coalition, secured second place with around 26.4%. A conservative figure, Quiroga brings experience and a promise of stronger right-leaning governance, marking a potential ideological swing in Bolivian politics.
This runoff election is regarded as a major blow to the once-dominant Movement for Socialism (MAS), which has ruled Bolivia since 2005. The party, founded by former President Evo Morales, faced internal divisions and public dissatisfaction amid the worst economic downturn Bolivia has experienced in four decades. Morales, barred from running in this election, publicly called for his supporters to boycott the vote, intensifying political tensions.
Analysts suggest the runoff will be a defining moment for Bolivia, illustrating the electorate’s desire for change after years of socialist administration. The election results reveal an electorate divided by economic hardship but eager for political stability and reform.
As Bolivia prepares for the October 19 runoff, both candidates face the challenge of uniting a polarized country and navigating a fragile economy. The choice between Paz’s centrist approach and Quiroga’s right-wing platform will set the course for Bolivia’s future political and economic trajectory.
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