Analyst Says PDP’s Southern Zoning Could Be Indirect Boost for Tinubu’s Re-election

A prominent political commentator, Olawepo-Hashim, has suggested that the Peoples Democratic Party’s (PDP) recent moves to zone key positions to the South may unintentionally serve as a subtle boost for President Bola Tinubu’s re-election ambitions. According to the analyst, the strategy could weaken Northern influence within the party and inadvertently strengthen the incumbent’s position in the North.

Speaking in a recent interview, Olawepo-Hashim noted that PDP’s decision to concentrate party leadership and presidential zoning discussions on the Southern region risks alienating Northern delegates and voters. “By focusing on Southern leadership and neglecting the strategic importance of the North, PDP could inadvertently consolidate Tinubu’s support base in the Northern states,” he said.

The analyst pointed out that the North remains a critical voting bloc in national elections, and any perception of marginalization could shift electoral dynamics. He argued that Tinubu and the All Progressives Congress (APC) stand to benefit from any discontent within PDP ranks in the region, particularly if influential Northern leaders feel sidelined.

Political observers also noted that PDP’s zoning policy is part of a larger internal negotiation process aimed at balancing regional representation. However, the strategy carries risks, as it could be interpreted by voters and party members as prioritizing Southern interests over national unity.

Olawepo-Hashim warned that if the PDP does not engage Northern stakeholders effectively, the party could face challenges in mobilizing voters for the 2027 presidential election. He urged PDP leadership to adopt inclusive policies that accommodate all regions, emphasizing that political success in Nigeria requires broad-based support across both North and South.

While PDP officials have defended their zoning approach as a mechanism for internal democracy and regional equity, analysts like Olawepo-Hashim suggest the party must carefully consider the unintended consequences of such strategies, particularly in the run-up to the next general election.

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